Pre-tourney Rankings
William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#120
Expected Predictive Rating+2.0#139
Pace64.4#223
Improvement-1.8#256

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#120
Improvement+1.0#120

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#120
Improvement-2.9#305
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 39   @ Florida L 45-68 17%     0 - 1 -9.9 +6.6 +6.6
  Nov 18, 2014 278   Howard W 56-49 86%     1 - 1 -2.0 -4.5 -4.5
  Nov 22, 2014 198   @ Rice W 69-65 57%     2 - 1 +5.1 +0.5 +0.5
  Nov 25, 2014 324   Western Illinois W 83-49 93%     3 - 1 +19.8 -7.1 -7.1
  Nov 29, 2014 118   Wofford W 66-62 60%     4 - 1 +4.3 +0.2 +0.2
  Dec 03, 2014 62   @ Richmond L 67-68 23%     4 - 2 +9.7 +5.4 +5.4
  Dec 06, 2014 161   @ High Point L 63-66 50%     4 - 3 -0.2 +1.4 +1.4
  Dec 22, 2014 70   @ Old Dominion L 62-69 26%     4 - 4 +2.5 +4.8 +4.8
  Dec 30, 2014 9   @ North Carolina L 64-86 7%     4 - 5 -2.2 +9.9 +9.9
  Jan 03, 2015 281   College of Charleston W 75-45 87%     5 - 5 1 - 0 +20.8 -4.6 -4.6
  Jan 05, 2015 252   @ Drexel W 73-47 68%     6 - 5 2 - 0 +23.9 -1.1 -1.1
  Jan 08, 2015 248   @ Elon L 79-85 68%     6 - 6 2 - 1 -8.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Jan 10, 2015 209   James Madison W 81-73 78%     7 - 6 3 - 1 +2.9 -2.6 -2.6
  Jan 14, 2015 178   UNC Wilmington W 76-72 74%     8 - 6 4 - 1 +0.1 -2.0 -2.0
  Jan 17, 2015 262   @ Towson W 85-72 70%     9 - 6 5 - 1 +10.4 -1.3 -1.3
  Jan 21, 2015 256   @ Delaware L 80-84 69%     9 - 7 5 - 2 -6.4 -1.2 -1.2
  Jan 24, 2015 127   Northeastern W 78-62 63%     10 - 7 6 - 2 +15.5 -0.2 -0.2
  Jan 28, 2015 115   Hofstra W 100-79 59%     11 - 7 7 - 2 +21.5 +0.3 +0.3
  Jan 31, 2015 209   @ James Madison W 84-65 59%     12 - 7 8 - 2 +19.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Feb 05, 2015 281   @ College of Charleston L 72-80 73%     12 - 8 8 - 3 -11.5 -1.7 -1.7
  Feb 07, 2015 178   @ UNC Wilmington W 56-53 54%     13 - 8 9 - 3 +4.8 +0.9 +0.9
  Feb 11, 2015 248   Elon W 77-58 84%     14 - 8 10 - 3 +11.2 -3.9 -3.9
  Feb 14, 2015 256   Delaware L 70-73 85%     14 - 9 10 - 4 -11.1 -4.1 -4.1
  Feb 18, 2015 127   @ Northeastern L 64-75 41%     14 - 10 10 - 5 -5.7 +2.6 +2.6
  Feb 22, 2015 115   @ Hofstra W 80-78 37%     15 - 10 11 - 5 +8.3 +3.2 +3.2
  Feb 25, 2015 262   Towson W 65-50 85%     16 - 10 12 - 5 +6.6 -4.2 -4.2
  Feb 28, 2015 252   Drexel L 66-80 84%     16 - 11 12 - 6 -21.9 -3.9 -3.9
  Mar 07, 2015 248   Elon W 72-59 77%     17 - 11 +8.1 -2.4 -2.4
  Mar 08, 2015 115   Hofstra W 92-91 2OT 48%     18 - 11 +4.4 +1.7 +1.7
  Mar 09, 2015 127   Northeastern L 61-72 52%     18 - 12 -8.6 +1.2 +1.2
Projected Record 18.0 - 12.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%